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Datamining Nasz'uro Legendary Drop Rates - Secret Drop Rate Buff
Moderna
Publicado
22/02/2024 a las 15:32
por
Squishei
A triumphant roar echoes from atop the Seat of the Aspects as Nasz'uro, the Unbound Legacy is formed. We've datamined what appears to be the drop rate for Nasz'uro, the Unbound Legacy and it looks like the drop rate was buffed ahead of Season 4 as well!
Thanks to Dorovon for helping parse the data and generating graphs for the drop rates.
Disclaimers
Please read the following disclaimers.
This data is not labeled. There's no "Legendary Drop Rate" tag, but based on multiple factors, we assume that this is related to the Nas'zuro Bad Luck Protection (BLP). This could not be related, but we do think it is.
We don't know if there's an additional base drop percentage and what it is, if it exists.
Curve data is a set of points and we are assuming a linear interpolation, but we don't know for sure.
While some of this is likely still inaccurate due to missing drop %s, there are a couple of main takeaways that will be useful to know for players.
Data Gathering
The Legendary Evoker weapon,
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
was the first Legendary of its kind, being unlocked at the end of the Race to World First. Many questions were had about how it dropped and originally, it dropped with no Bad Luck Protection and a chance per difficulty. As usual, Blizzard hid the numbers and players became
increasingly frustrated
as there was no guarantee they would ever get this BiS weapon.
In Patch 10.1.5, Blizzard announced that they added BLP to
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
on Heroic and Mythic. It wasn't known what exactly this BLP was... until now.
Two nights ago, at ~9:40 PST.
Blizzard announced
that Bad Luck Protection on the 2H Axe Legendary,
Fyr'alath, la Rajasueños
was buffed. As
mentioned here
, we believe that most of the hotfixes to the Curves were for the Greater and Lesser Embers of Fyr'alath. However, there were also hotfixes for 2 more Curves. These Curves were actually added in Patch 10.1.5, but look oddly similarly to what we think are the Fyr'alath Curves.
As such, we think that these are actually the Bad Luck Protection Curves for
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
. And these hotfixes actually look to contain buffs to the drop rate for
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
ahead of Season 4!
Nas'zuro Legendary Drop Chance
We only have 2 Curves for this data, likely for Heroic and Mythic, as these were the only difficulties with Bad Luck Protection added for Aberrus.
We don't know the base drop chance for LFR and Normal, or if there exists a base drop chance for Heroic and Mythic on top of this BLP graph.
TL;DR
If these plots are related to the legendary and they work how we think they work, these are some of the most important conclusions:
The Drop Rate on LFR and Normal is unknown. If the Fyr'alath Legendary is any indication, it's very low.
On your 41st Heroic (or higher) Sarkareth kill after BLP was available (10.1.5 launch), you will get
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
guaranteed.
On your 7th Mythic Sarkareth kill after BLP was available (10.1.5 launch), you now will get
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
guaranteed.
There were 18 weeks between the release of Patch 10.1.5 (when BLP started) and Amidrassil released. If you killed Heroic Sark every week since BLP launched and haven't touched it since Amirdrassil, you would start on Row 18 for Heroic -- now 47.5% (was 28%).
Sarkareth Kills
Here are the new plots for what we believe are the
Nasz'uro, el legado desatado
.
It's important to note that Heroic now has a guaranteed drop rate on your 41st Heroic+ Sarkareth kill after Patch 10.1.5. You'd be unlucky to reach that without the drop since the Heroic curve is looking to be linear unlike the other curves which randomly spike to 100%. Also, there's possibly a base percentage that is missing from this data, but this should help quantify when players should be guaranteed the Legendary.
# of Previous Sarkareth Kills
Heroic
Mythic
New
Old
New
Old
0
0%
0%
0%
0%
1
~1.29%
1%
5.4%
3%
2
~2.57%
2%
10.8%
6%
3
~3.86%
3%
16.2%
9%
4
~5.14%
4%
21.6%
12%
5
~6.43%
5%
27%
15%
6
~7.71%
6%
100%
18%
7
9%
7%
21%
8
20%
8%
24%
9
22.5%
9%
27%
10
25%
20%
100%
11
28.25%
21%
12
31%
22%
13
33.75%
23%
14
36.5%
24%
15
39.25%
25%
16
42%
26%
17
44.75%
27%
18
47.5%
28%
19
50.25%
29%
20
53%
30%
40
100%
50%
*weeks 21 - 39 not shown.
Based on the fact that Blizzard told players to do the highest difficulty and you get BLP and roll on lower difficulties as well, it is believed that defeating Sark on any difficulty also independently rolls for and counts as a kill for each of the lower difficulties as well.
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